Do we really know the death toll from COVID-19 in the US? Our research suggests there were
We calculated the expected number of regular deaths for different US states based on historical data from CDC. Then we checked the number of COVID and non-COVID deaths actually recorded for February-April 2020 and zeroed in on the states with dramatic upward deviations. Several states appear to have significant under-reporting of COVID deaths: New York and New Jersey are responsible for two thirds of the total number.